ftv2_r22 sims-Elo ladder
self-play, adjacent-doubling chain · 100 games/link · paired openings ·
13/13 matches · updated 12:00:55 PT
sims=2048 is +1161 Elo over sims=1 (chain sum)
| link | games | Elo(low−high) | 95% CI | W-D-L | status |
|---|
| 1 v 2 | 100 | +78 | [95% CI +10 .. +152] | NA | done |
| 2 v 4 | 100 | -3 | [95% CI -73 .. +65] | NA | done |
| 4 v 8 | 100 | -60 | [95% CI -132 .. +8] | NA | done |
| 8 v 16 | 100 | -123 | [95% CI -202 .. -55] | NA | done |
| 16 v 32 | 100 | -295 | [95% CI -415 .. -214] | NA | done |
| 32 v 64 | 100 | -123 | [95% CI -202 .. -55] | NA | done |
| 64 v 128 | 100 | -85 | [95% CI -160 .. -17] | NA | done |
| 128 v 256 | 100 | -205 | [95% CI -299 .. -132] | NA | done |
| 256 v 512 | 100 | -100 | [95% CI -176 .. -32] | NA | done |
| 512 v 1024 | 100 | -89 | [95% CI -164 .. -21] | NA | done |
| 1024 v 2048 | 100 | -156 | [95% CI -240 .. -86] | NA | done |
Transitivity checks (skip links)
| link | measured | 95% CI | chain prediction |
|---|
| 128 v 512 | -252 | [95% CI -358 .. -176] | -305 |
| 512 v 2048 | -196 | [95% CI -287 .. -124] | -245 |